Alice Lloyd Eagles
Away · model win chance 0%
63
Home · model win chance 100%
100
Preview · Sun 11/22, 4 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $11 · Baptist Health Arena, Richmond, KY · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:36 PM ET
Alice Lloyd Eagles 630% to win Eastern Kentucky Colonels 100100% to win
EKU -37.8model spread
163.0model total
79possessions

EKU is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated UAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

ALEKU
Net ratingnon-D-I-7.8 #261
Offensenon-D-I102.7 #234
Defensenon-D-I110.5 #268
Temponon-D-I73.0 #46
Games this season2164
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When UAC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Alice Lloyd Eaglesnon-UAC team, not tracked
Eastern Kentucky Colonels1 short0same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.