Away · model win chance 53%
73
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Home · model win chance 47%
72
Preview · Tue 11/17, 8 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Reed Green Coliseum, Hattiesburg, MS · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:36 PM ET
UT Arlington Mavericks 7353% to win Southern Miss Golden Eagles 7247% to win
UTA -1.0model spread
145.5model total
74possessions

No line yet. UAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated UAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

UTAUSM
Net rating-1.2 #166-7.9 #262
Offense101.8 #25597.8 #308
Defense103.0 #115105.7 #168
Tempo72.4 #6271.9 #87
Games this season54
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When UAC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
UT Arlington Mavericks2468same
Southern Miss Golden Eaglesnon-UAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.