Eastern Kentucky vs. Kent State prediction: model has Kent State by 6
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Eastern Kentucky (3-1) visits Kent State at M.A.C. Center in Kent Monday at 7 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Kent State a 6.3-point favorite, projecting an 87-80 final, and gives Kent State a 70% chance to win. The betting market has Kent State favored by 11 with a total of 156.8. The model leans Eastern Kentucky +11.0 and Over 156.8.
Players to watch: Justin McCarter of Eastern Kentucky, 12.9 points a game; Yvens Paul of Eastern Kentucky, 8.9 points a game; Shadrak Lasu of Eastern Kentucky, 5.2 points a game.
Model makes it KENT -6.3; the market says KENT -11. That is 4.7 points of daylight toward EKU, a strong lean on the underdog.
Over 156.810.2
Model total 167.0 against a market 156.8: a big lean to the over by 10.2.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated UAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
EKU
KENT
Net rating
-7.8 #261
-4.8 #217
Offense
102.7 #234
109.5 #114
Defense
110.5 #268
114.3 #330
Tempo
73.0 #46
71.5 #104
Games this season
4
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
