Bellarmine Knights
Away · model win chance 25%
76
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $14
· Baptist Health Arena, Richmond, KY
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:36 PM ETEKU -8.1model spread
159.4model total
70possessions
No line yet. UAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Shadrak Lasu EKU · F
+6.0#3 overall in UAC
Offensive engine
Yvens Paul EKU · F
+4.2#4 offense in UAC
Defensive anchor
Justin McCarter EKU · G
+0.2#38 defense in UAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated UAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| BELL | EKU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -14.0 #320 | -7.8 #261 |
| Offense | 105.9 #170 | 102.7 #234 |
| Defense | 119.9 #362 | 110.5 #268 |
| Tempo | 67.5 #329 | 73.0 #46 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When UAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bellarmine Knights | non-UAC team, not tracked | ||
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 3 | 283 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.