McMurry War Hawks
Away · model win chance 0%
63
Preview · Wed 11/18, 9 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Moody Coliseum (Abilene), Abilene, TX
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:36 PM ETACU -32.9model spread
159.2model total
76possessions
ACU is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Willan Marie-Anais ACU · F
+1.5#22 overall in UAC
Offensive engine
Isaac Dye ACU · G
+0.5#30 offense in UAC
Defensive anchor
Timéo Pons ACU · G
-0.1#44 defense in UAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated UAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| MCM | ACU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | non-D-I | -12.5 #309 |
| Offense | non-D-I | 101.8 #256 |
| Defense | non-D-I | 114.3 #329 |
| Tempo | non-D-I | 70.1 #195 |
| Games this season | 216 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When UAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| McMurry War Hawks | non-UAC team, not tracked | ||
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 1 short | 491 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.