Central Arkansas vs. Oklahoma State prediction: model has Oklahoma State by 10
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Central Arkansas (2-2) visits Oklahoma State at Gallagher-Iba Arena in Stillwater Monday at 8 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Oklahoma State a 10.1-point favorite, projecting an 84-74 final, and gives Oklahoma State a 80% chance to win. The betting market has Oklahoma State favored by 21.2 with a total of 160.5. The model leans Central Arkansas +21.2 and Under 160.5.
Central Arkansas is playing its second straight road game.
Model makes it OKST -10.1; the market says OKST -21.2. That is 11.1 points of daylight toward CARK, a big lean on the underdog.
Under 160.52.2
Model total 158.3 against a market 160.5: a lean lean to the under by 2.2.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated UAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
CARK
OKST
Net rating
+5.9 #107
+14.0 #62
Offense
108.5 #128
113.9 #60
Defense
102.6 #110
99.9 #67
Tempo
71.1 #132
73.5 #34
Games this season
4
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
