Away · model win chance 5%
66
UTSA Roadrunners
Home · model win chance 95%
86
Preview · Wed 11/18, 8 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $21 · UTSA Convocation Center, San Antonio, TX · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:41 PM ET
Florida A&M Rattlers 665% to win UTSA Roadrunners 8695% to win
UTSA -20.1model spread
151.9model total
72possessions

No line yet. SWAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 149 rated SWAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

FAMUUTSA
Net rating-29.2 #365-6.8 #251
Offense90.4 #360102.5 #239
Defense119.7 #361109.3 #252
Tempo71.4 #11271.3 #118
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When SWAC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Florida A&M Rattlers1 short502-1 h
UTSA Roadrunnersnon-SWAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.