Florida A&M vs. UTEP prediction: model has UTEP by 18
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Florida A&M (0-4) visits UTEP at Don Haskins Center in El Paso Monday at 2 PM ET on MW+.
Our model makes UTEP a 17.5-point favorite, projecting a 79-62 final, and gives UTEP a 93% chance to win. The betting market has UTEP favored by 20 with a total of 141.5. The model leans Florida A&M +20.0 and Under 141.5.
Players to watch: Jayden Joseph of Florida A&M, 9.4 points a game; Antonio Baker Jr. of Florida A&M, 9.4 points a game; Ralph Martino Jr. of Florida A&M, 5 points a game.
Florida A&M traveled about 1,523 miles to El Paso and crossed 2.0 time zones.
Model makes it UTEP -17.5; the market says UTEP -20. That is 2.5 points of daylight toward FAMU, a lean lean on the underdog.
Under 141.50.3
Model total 141.2 against a market 141.5: a slight lean to the under by 0.3.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 149 rated SWAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
FAMU
UTEP
Net rating
-29.2 #365
-9.2 #271
Offense
90.4 #360
99.0 #296
Defense
119.7 #361
108.2 #223
Tempo
71.4 #112
67.7 #319
Games this season
4
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
