San Diego State Aztecs
Home · model win chance 98%
92
Preview · Wed 11/18, 10 PM ET
· How to watch: YouTube
· Tickets from $9
· Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:41 PM ETSDSU -24.5model spread
160.2model total
75possessions
No line yet. SWAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Ben Vungo TXSO · G
+4.5#2 overall in SWAC
Offensive engine
Jason Kimbrough TXSO · G
+0.8#15 offense in SWAC
Defensive anchor
Kehlin Farooq TXSO · G
-0.7#58 defense in SWAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 149 rated SWAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| TXSO | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -12.5 #308 | +14.8 #57 |
| Offense | 99.6 #286 | 114.3 #57 |
| Defense | 112.1 #292 | 99.5 #62 |
| Tempo | 74.1 #23 | 71.3 #119 |
| Games this season | 4 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When SWAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Southern Tigers | 1 short | 0 | -2 h |
| San Diego State Aztecs | non-SWAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.