Ecclesia Royals
Away · model win chance 0%
61
Home · model win chance 100%
98
Preview · Mon 11/23 · How to watch: TV not listed yet · Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center, Grambling, LA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:41 PM ET
Ecclesia Royals 610% to win Grambling Tigers 98100% to win
GRAM -36.9model spread
159.3model total
77possessions

GRAM is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 149 rated SWAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

ECCLGRAM
Net ratingnon-D-I-7.8 #260
Offensenon-D-I102.8 #229
Defensenon-D-I110.7 #271
Temponon-D-I71.1 #134
Games this season2162
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When SWAC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Ecclesia Royalsnon-SWAC team, not tracked
Grambling Tigers20same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.