Arkansas Razorbacks
Home · model win chance 99%
91
Preview · Fri 11/20, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: SECN+
· Tickets from $13
· Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, AR
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:41 PM ETARK -30.0model spread
152.6model total
71possessions
No line yet. SWAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Tymias Williams MVSU · F
-1.6#53 overall in SWAC
Offensive engine
Gabriel Martinez MVSU · PF
-0.3#39 offense in SWAC
Defensive anchor
Caleb Cameron MVSU · G
-0.7#56 defense in SWAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 149 rated SWAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| MVSU | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -21.7 #359 | +15.2 #53 |
| Offense | 93.0 #347 | 117.2 #37 |
| Defense | 114.7 #334 | 102.0 #97 |
| Tempo | 70.1 #203 | 71.2 #127 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When SWAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 6 | 2,191 | same |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | non-SWAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.