Paine Lions
Away · model win chance 0%
60
Home · model win chance 100%
102
Preview · Sun 11/15, 8 PM ET · How to watch: TV not listed yet · Moore Gymnasium (FL), Daytona Beach, FL · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

Paine vs. Bethune-Cookman prediction: model has Bethune-Cookman by 42

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

Paine visits Bethune-Cookman (0-4) at Moore Gymnasium (FL) in Daytona Beach Sunday at 8 PM ET.

Our model makes Bethune-Cookman a 41.7-point favorite, projecting a 102-60 final. Paine is not a Division I team, so books don't post a line and the model's number is rough.

Players to watch: Mari Jordan of Bethune-Cookman, 9.7 points a game; Daniel Johnson of Bethune-Cookman, 7.3 points a game; Kevin Patton Jr. of Bethune-Cookman, 5.7 points a game.

Bethune-Cookman traveled about 2,145 miles to Daytona Beach.

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:41 PM ET
Paine Lions 600% to win Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 102100% to win
BCU -41.7model spread
162.1model total
77possessions

BCU is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 149 rated SWAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

PANEBCU
Net ratingnon-D-I-1.7 #171
Offensenon-D-I107.3 #150
Defensenon-D-I109.0 #245
Temponon-D-I71.4 #106
Games this season2164
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When SWAC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Paine Lionsnon-SWAC team, not tracked
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats32,145same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.