LSU New Orleans Privateers
Away · model win chance 35%
79
Home · model win chance 65%
84
Preview · Sat 11/21, 8:30 PM ET · How to watch: SWAC TV, YouTube · H&PE Arena, Houston, TX · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:41 PM ET
LSU New Orleans Privateers 7935% to win Texas Southern Tigers 8465% to win
TXSO -4.5model spread
163.3model total
77possessions

No line yet. SWAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 149 rated SWAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

NOLATXSO
Net rating-13.0 #314-12.5 #308
Offense99.9 #27899.6 #286
Defense112.9 #304112.1 #292
Tempo73.0 #4574.1 #23
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When SWAC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
LSU New Orleans Privateersnon-SWAC team, not tracked
Texas Southern Tigers21,302same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.