Missouri Tigers
Home · model win chance 100%
97
Preview · Wed 11/18, 9 PM ET
· How to watch: SEC Network
· Tickets from $7
· Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:41 PM ETMIZ -35.7model spread
157.7model total
70possessions
No line yet. SWAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Adam Tokpah ALCN · C
+1.8#9 overall in SWAC
Offensive engine
Calvin Sirmans III ALCN · G
-0.9#57 offense in SWAC
Defensive anchor
Trey Thomas ALCN · G
-2.8#120 defense in SWAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 149 rated SWAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| ALCN | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -19.5 #352 | +25.8 #16 |
| Offense | 97.2 #310 | 123.8 #6 |
| Defense | 116.7 #349 | 98.0 #48 |
| Tempo | 71.2 #124 | 69.6 #234 |
| Games this season | 4 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When SWAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorn State Braves | 1 short | 0 | same |
| Missouri Tigers | non-SWAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.