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Kentucky Wildcats
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Preview · Mon 11/16, 7 PM ET · How to watch: SECN+ · Tickets from $9 · Rupp Arena, Lexington, KY · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

Grambling vs. Kentucky prediction: model has Kentucky by 15

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

Grambling (1-1) visits Kentucky at Rupp Arena in Lexington Monday at 7 PM ET on SECN+.

Our model makes Kentucky a 15-point favorite, projecting an 87-72 final, and gives Kentucky a 89% chance to win.

Players to watch: Isaiah Miranda of Grambling, 18.2 points a game; Brandon Hardy of Grambling, 5.6 points a game; Antoine Shannon of Grambling, 5.4 points a game.

Grambling traveled about 933 miles to Lexington and crossed 1.0 time zone.

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:41 PM ET
Grambling Tigers 7211% to win Kentucky Wildcats 8789% to win
UK -15.0model spread
159.1model total
70possessions

No line yet. SWAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 149 rated SWAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

GRAMUK
Net rating-7.8 #260+8.0 #88
Offense102.8 #229116.0 #46
Defense110.7 #271108.0 #218
Tempo71.1 #13469.7 #221
Games this season24
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When SWAC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Grambling Tigers6933+1 h
Kentucky Wildcatsnon-SWAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.