Cleveland State vs. Alabama A&M prediction: model has Alabama A&M by 8
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Cleveland State visits Alabama A&M (3-1) at Event Center in Huntsville Sunday at 3 PM ET on SWAC TV.
Our model makes Alabama A&M a 7.6-point favorite, projecting an 82-74 final, and gives Alabama A&M a 74% chance to win. The betting market has Alabama A&M favored by 6.5 with a total of 137.5. The model leans Alabama A&M -6.5 and Over 137.5.
Players to watch: James Graham III of Alabama A&M, 23 points a game; Devin Brown of Alabama A&M, 10.4 points a game; Stephaun Walker of Alabama A&M, 8.9 points a game.
Model makes it AAMU -7.6; the market says AAMU -6.5. That is 1.1 points of daylight toward AAMU, a slight lean on the favorite.
Over 137.518.6
Model total 156.1 against a market 137.5: a big lean to the over by 18.6.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 149 rated SWAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
CLE
AAMU
Net rating
-17.2 #345
-11.5 #296
Offense
107.0 #159
99.4 #289
Defense
124.2 #365
110.9 #275
Tempo
68.8 #273
69.5 #238
Games this season
4
4
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
