Texas Southern vs. UC San Diego prediction: model has UC San Diego by 11
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Texas Southern (1-3) visits UC San Diego at LionTree Arena in San Diego Monday at 10 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes UC San Diego a 10.8-point favorite, projecting an 86-75 final, and gives UC San Diego a 82% chance to win.
Players to watch: Jason Kimbrough of Texas Southern, 13.7 points a game; Ben Vungo of Texas Southern, 11.6 points a game; Kehlin Farooq of Texas Southern, 2.7 points a game.
Texas Southern traveled about 1,926 miles to San Diego and crossed 2.0 time zones.
No line yet. SWAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 149 rated SWAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
TXSO
UCSD
Net rating
-12.5 #308
-3.5 #195
Offense
99.6 #286
106.9 #160
Defense
112.1 #292
110.3 #265
Tempo
74.1 #23
70.7 #161
Games this season
4
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
