Alcorn State vs. Maryland prediction: model has Maryland by 21
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Alcorn State (0-4) visits Maryland at XFINITY Center in College Park Monday at 6 PM ET on BTN.
Our model makes Maryland a 20.5-point favorite, projecting an 89-69 final, and gives Maryland a 96% chance to win.
Players to watch: Trey Thomas of Alcorn State, 20.9 points a game; Calvin Sirmans III of Alcorn State, 9.4 points a game; Adam Tokpah of Alcorn State, 2 points a game.
Alcorn State is playing its third straight road game.
No line yet. SWAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 149 rated SWAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
ALCN
MD
Net rating
-19.5 #352
+3.7 #126
Offense
97.2 #310
110.6 #99
Defense
116.7 #349
107.0 #192
Tempo
71.2 #124
70.9 #148
Games this season
4
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
