Baylor Bears
Home · model win chance 99%
91
Preview · Wed 11/18, 12 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $8
· Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:41 PM ETBAY -27.2model spread
154.1model total
76possessions
No line yet. SWAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Nikk Williams JKST · F
+2.1#6 overall in SWAC
Offensive engine
Delyle Williams JKST · G
-0.5#48 offense in SWAC
Defensive anchor
Dorian McMillian JKST · G
-0.7#60 defense in SWAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 149 rated SWAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| JKST | BAY | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -11.5 #297 | +18.9 #37 |
| Offense | 96.9 #314 | 114.2 #58 |
| Defense | 108.4 #230 | 95.3 #32 |
| Tempo | 72.2 #74 | 74.0 #26 |
| Games this season | 5 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When SWAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson State Tigers | 3 | 969 | same |
| Baylor Bears | non-SWAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.