Texas State Bobcats
Home · model win chance 54%
80
Preview · Sun 11/22, 3:30 PM ET
· How to watch: CW
· Tickets from $23
· Strahan Arena at the University Events Center, San Marcos, TX
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:35 PM ETTXST -1.2model spread
159.5model total
70possessions
No line yet. Southland lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Alier Maluk MCN · F
+4.1#8 overall in Southland
Offensive engine
Elijah Moore MCN · G
+4.7#2 offense in Southland
Defensive anchor
Christian Nitu MCN · F
+0.0#60 defense in Southland
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 160 rated Southland players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| MCN | TXST | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +9.7 #83 | +6.0 #104 |
| Offense | 118.7 #26 | 109.4 #116 |
| Defense | 109.1 #246 | 103.4 #125 |
| Tempo | 70.4 #179 | 69.6 #233 |
| Games this season | 3 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Southland lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| McNeese Cowboys | 12 | 284 | same |
| Texas State Bobcats | non-Southland team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.