Texas State Bobcats
Home · model win chance 97%
83
Preview · Wed 11/18, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: YouTube
· Tickets from $20
· Strahan Arena at the University Events Center, San Marcos, TX
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:35 PM ETTXST -22.0model spread
144.0model total
70possessions
No line yet. Southland lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Godswill Erheriene UIW · F
-0.5#67 overall in Southland
Offensive engine
Brandon McCreesh UIW · G
-1.1#98 offense in Southland
Defensive anchor
D'Arrae Goodwin UIW · F
+2.3#13 defense in Southland
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 160 rated Southland players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UIW | TXST | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -20.1 #355 | +6.0 #104 |
| Offense | 92.3 #355 | 109.4 #116 |
| Defense | 112.4 #299 | 103.4 #125 |
| Tempo | 70.7 #162 | 69.6 #233 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Southland lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 6 | 1,514 | same |
| Texas State Bobcats | non-Southland team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.