Troy Trojans
Neutral · model win chance 50%
69
Preview · Sun 11/22, 3 PM ET
· How to watch: TV not listed yet
· Pensacola Bay Center, Pensacola, FL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:35 PM ETTROY -0.1model spread
138.0model total
68possessions
No line yet. Southland lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
AJ Dent NICH · F
+1.2#33 overall in Southland
Offensive engine
Doyel Cockrill III NICH · G
-0.5#78 offense in Southland
Defensive anchor
Sheridan Sharp NICH · G
+2.2#14 defense in Southland
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 160 rated Southland players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| TROY | NICH | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -6.3 #237 | -6.4 #241 |
| Offense | 102.7 #232 | 98.6 #302 |
| Defense | 109.0 #242 | 105.0 #153 |
| Tempo | 66.7 #345 | 71.4 #107 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Southland lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | non-Southland team, not tracked | ||
| Nicholls Colonels | 0 short | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.