Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Neutral · model win chance 46%
71
Neutral · model win chance 54%
72
Preview · Sat 11/21, 5 PM ET · How to watch: TV not listed yet · Pensacola Bay Center, Pensacola, FL · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:35 PM ET
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 7146% to win Nicholls Colonels 7254% to win
NICH -1.1model spread
142.6model total
73possessions

No line yet. Southland lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 160 rated Southland players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

USMNICH
Net rating-7.9 #262-6.4 #241
Offense97.8 #30898.6 #302
Defense105.7 #168105.0 #153
Tempo71.9 #8771.4 #107
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Southland lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Southern Miss Golden Eaglesnon-Southland team, not tracked
Nicholls Colonels3304same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.