Rice Owls
Neutral · model win chance 47%
77
Neutral · model win chance 53%
78
Preview · Sun 11/22, 5 PM ET · How to watch: TV not listed yet · The Reef, Jacksonville, FL · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:35 PM ET
Rice Owls 7747% to win Lamar Cardinals 7853% to win
LAM -1.0model spread
155.8model total
73possessions

No line yet. Southland lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 160 rated Southland players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

RICELAM
Net rating-3.6 #198-2.2 #180
Offense104.8 #192104.7 #199
Defense108.4 #227106.9 #191
Tempo71.0 #14172.5 #60
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Southland lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Rice Owlsnon-Southland team, not tracked
Lamar Cardinals41,522+1 h
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.