Indiana State Sycamores
Neutral · model win chance 31%
69
Neutral · model win chance 69%
75
Preview · Fri 11/20, 3 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Elridge Blake Sports and Fitness Center, Charlotte Amalie, Virgin Islands · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:35 PM ET
Indiana State Sycamores 6931% to win Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 7569% to win
SFA -6.0model spread
144.7model total
68possessions

No line yet. Southland lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 160 rated Southland players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

INSTSFA
Net rating-5.9 #229+2.9 #133
Offense102.6 #238108.0 #136
Defense108.5 #237105.1 #158
Tempo70.6 #17367.9 #310
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Southland lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Indiana State Sycamoresnon-Southland team, not tracked
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks50same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.