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Final · Wed, Nov 11, 2026 · University Credit Union Center, Davis, CA · attendance 1,977 · ESPN gamecast · Share this box score

UC Davis beat Incarnate Word 81-69

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

UC Davis beat Incarnate Word 81-69 at University Credit Union Center.

Brayden Fagbemi led UC Davis with 21 points and 9 assists. Delta State, Nigeria, native Godswill Erheriene had 14 points and 11 rebounds for Incarnate Word, a game high on the boards.

UC Davis had 28 fast-break points to Incarnate Word's 4. UC Davis covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 0.8 points.

Scoring · UC Davis: Brayden Fagbemi 21, Connor Sevilla 18, Veniamin Abosi 12, Jalen Stokes 10, Isaiah Chappell 10, Ylan Esso-Essis 4, Omer Suljanovic 2, Clarence Massamba 2, Chase Rawlins 2. Incarnate Word: D'Arrae Goodwin 14, Godswill Erheriene 14, Max Garcia-Plata 12, Ismail Habib 10, Jayden Thomas 7, Christophe Pare 4, Mekhi Conner 3, Brandon McCreesh 3, Krisnan-Cole Ioane 2.

What the model said

Projected that morning with only earlier games
UIW 63, UCD 75model score
-11.2model spread (home)
138.1model total
0.8points off the final margin
UnderdogUIW +11.50.3 Lost Under 143.55.4 Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.

Line and result

Spread (home)TotalML homeML awaySource
Open (first seen)-10.0146.0our snapshots
Latest-16.5152.5-10000016567our snapshots (4 books)
Close-11.5143.5-850575Draft Kings via ESPN
Margin +12 (home) ATS UCD covered Total 150 → over

Travel and rest coming in

TeamRest daysMiles inRoad streakTime zone
UIW 29792-2 h
UCD non-Southland team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).

Team stats

StatUIWUCD
FG25-6425-53
FG%3947
3PT8-279-23
3P%3039
FT11-1622-26
FT%6985
Rebounds3536
Offensive rebounds137
Defensive rebounds2229
Assists1719
Steals66
Blocks01
Turnovers1515
Points off turnovers2026
Fast break points428
Points in paint2630
Fouls2115
Largest lead026
Possessions (est.)73.673.3
Points per 100 possessions93.8110.4
Possessions = FGA − OREB + TO + 0.475 × FTA.

Incarnate Word Cardinals

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTOREBREBASTTOSTLBLKPF
D'Arrae Goodwin F 34146-162-60-1 31016103
Godswill Erheriene F 29146-90-02-4 51132104
Mekhi Conner G 2831-61-40-0 0294004
Brandon McCreesh G 1931-30-11-1 1310200
Jayden Thomas G 1772-70-03-4 0110100
Ismail Habib 30103-91-63-4 0211002
Max Garcia-Plata 23124-114-100-0 0210001
Christophe Pare 1242-30-00-0 1101104
Krisnan-Cole Ioane 720-00-02-2 1100001
DJ Cason 100-00-00-0 0000002
Tristan Collins DNP
David Emetu DNP
Kaleb Spencer DNP
Marc Harvey DNP
Drew Barbee DNP

UC Davis Aggies

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTOREBREBASTTOSTLBLKPF
Brayden Fagbemi G 31216-84-55-6 0393200
Connor Sevilla G 29183-71-411-12 0020101
Jalen Stokes G 27104-90-12-2 0102003
Isaiah Chappell F 22103-72-62-3 0532103
Omer Suljanovic F 1121-10-00-0 1412001
Veniamin Abosi 21124-92-32-3 31001101
Clarence Massamba 1921-50-20-0 0101101
Aleks Szymczyk 1600-20-10-0 2531001
Ylan Esso-Essis 1342-40-10-0 0300013
Chase Rawlins 921-10-00-0 0012001
Nnadalu Noble 200-00-00-0 0001000
Julian Dabrowski DNP
Julian Margrave DNP
Koby Moir DNP
Caspian Jones DNP