Siena Saints
Away · model win chance 88%
86
Home · model win chance 12%
72
Preview · Sat 11/21, 11 AM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $43 · Sojka Pavilion, Lewisburg, PA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ET
Siena Saints 8688% to win Bucknell Bison 7212% to win
SIE -13.9model spread
157.2model total
73possessions

No line yet. Patriot lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 143 rated Patriot players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

SIEBUCK
Net rating+0.9 #144-23.6 #360
Offense107.6 #14695.1 #328
Defense106.7 #185118.8 #357
Tempo73.9 #2869.1 #262
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Patriot lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Siena Saintsnon-Patriot team, not tracked
Bucknell Bison30same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.