Rider Broncs
Home · model win chance 24%
64
Preview · Sat 11/21, 2 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $16
· Canastra Hammer Arena, Lawrenceville, NJ
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ETNAVY -8.5model spread
137.0model total
67possessions
No line yet. Patriot lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Jerry Ashley Jr. NAVY · F
+4.5#1 overall in Patriot
Offensive engine
David Burnett NAVY · G
+0.3#28 offense in Patriot
Defensive anchor
Cam Cole NAVY · G
+0.0#46 defense in Patriot
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 143 rated Patriot players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| NAVY | RID | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -6.0 #231 | -24.1 #361 |
| Offense | 99.8 #283 | 92.6 #352 |
| Defense | 105.8 #170 | 116.7 #348 |
| Tempo | 67.8 #314 | 70.0 #207 |
| Games this season | 5 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Patriot lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Navy Midshipmen | 2 | 161 | same |
| Rider Broncs | non-Patriot team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.