Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Home · model win chance 62%
66
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $20
· Knott Arena, Emmitsburg, MD
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ETMSM -3.8model spread
129.2model total
69possessions
No line yet. Patriot lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Hank Alvey LEH · C
+3.8#2 overall in Patriot
Offensive engine
Peter Kramer LEH · G
-0.5#52 offense in Patriot
Defensive anchor
Joshua Ingram LEH · G
+0.8#27 defense in Patriot
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 143 rated Patriot players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| LEH | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -8.5 #269 | -8.4 #267 |
| Offense | 96.5 #317 | 94.6 #334 |
| Defense | 105.0 #156 | 103.0 #118 |
| Tempo | 68.3 #294 | 71.0 #146 |
| Games this season | 4 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Patriot lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 3 | 121 | same |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | non-Patriot team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.