Penn State Behrend Lions
Away · model win chance 0%
60
Home · model win chance 100%
97
Preview · Sat 11/21, 2 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $26 · Cotterell Court, Hamilton, NY · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ET
Penn State Behrend Lions 600% to win Colgate Raiders 97100% to win
COLG -36.7model spread
157.6model total
76possessions

COLG is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 143 rated Patriot players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

PSBHCOLG
Net ratingnon-D-I-7.4 #255
Offensenon-D-I103.6 #216
Defensenon-D-I110.9 #277
Temponon-D-I70.0 #210
Games this season2164
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Patriot lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Penn State Behrend Lionsnon-Patriot team, not tracked
Colgate Raiders20same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.