Virginia Cavaliers
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Preview · Fri 11/20, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ACC Network
· Tickets from $6
· John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ETUVA -31.5model spread
149.1model total
71possessions
No line yet. Patriot lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Everett Barnes L-MD · F
+1.7#13 overall in Patriot
Offensive engine
Abdullah Amzil L-MD · F
-1.4#83 offense in Patriot
Defensive anchor
Sebastien Emenalo L-MD · F
+2.3#10 defense in Patriot
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 143 rated Patriot players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| L-MD | UVA | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -16.0 #338 | +23.2 #22 |
| Offense | 95.2 #327 | 119.8 #18 |
| Defense | 111.2 #281 | 96.6 #38 |
| Tempo | 69.4 #241 | 71.6 #98 |
| Games this season | 5 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Patriot lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 5 | 141 | same |
| Virginia Cavaliers | non-Patriot team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.