Harvard Crimson
Away · model win chance 70%
69
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $33
· Hart Center Arena, Worcester, MA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ETHARV -6.1model spread
131.2model total
66possessions
No line yet. Patriot lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Tristen Wilson HC · G
+0.0#26 overall in Patriot
Offensive engine
Arius Alijosius HC · G
-0.7#61 offense in Patriot
Defensive anchor
Chuck Hare HC · F
-0.0#47 defense in Patriot
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 143 rated Patriot players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| HARV | HC | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -6.4 #243 | -21.2 #357 |
| Offense | 99.1 #294 | 92.6 #353 |
| Defense | 105.5 #165 | 113.7 #324 |
| Tempo | 64.6 #365 | 71.6 #94 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Patriot lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harvard Crimson | non-Patriot team, not tracked | ||
| Holy Cross Crusaders | 1 short | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.