Marist Red Foxes
Away · model win chance 41%
67
Preview · Tue 11/17, 6 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $17
· Christl Arena, West Point, NY
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ETARMY -2.9model spread
136.6model total
66possessions
No line yet. Patriot lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Tate Laczkowski ARMY · F
+3.5#5 overall in Patriot
Offensive engine
Kevin McCarthy ARMY · G
+2.2#5 offense in Patriot
Defensive anchor
Dillon Watt ARMY · G
-1.5#99 defense in Patriot
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 143 rated Patriot players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| MRST | ARMY | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -5.9 #228 | -7.0 #253 |
| Offense | 98.0 #306 | 105.3 #180 |
| Defense | 103.9 #133 | 112.3 #296 |
| Tempo | 69.0 #268 | 67.1 #338 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Patriot lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marist Red Foxes | non-Patriot team, not tracked | ||
| Army Black Knights | 2 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.