Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels
Away · model win chance 0%
57
Preview · Thu 11/19, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $31
· Bender Arena, Washington, DC
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ETAMER -39.2model spread
153.8model total
75possessions
AMER is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Julen Iturbe AMER · F
+3.6#3 overall in Patriot
Offensive engine
Matt Mayock AMER · F
+2.0#6 offense in Patriot
Defensive anchor
Madden Collins AMER · G
-0.6#65 defense in Patriot
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 143 rated Patriot players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| MBAL | AMER | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | non-D-I | -3.4 #192 |
| Offense | non-D-I | 104.5 #204 |
| Defense | non-D-I | 107.8 #215 |
| Tempo | non-D-I | 68.9 #271 |
| Games this season | 216 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Patriot lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels | non-Patriot team, not tracked | ||
| American University Eagles | 3 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.