Away · model win chance 2%
61
Syracuse Orange
Home · model win chance 98%
85
Preview · Sat 11/21, 2 PM ET · How to watch: ACCNX · Tickets from $3 · JMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse, NY · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:38 PM ET
Lafayette Leopards 612% to win Syracuse Orange 8598% to win
SYR -24.3model spread
145.4model total
69possessions

No line yet. Patriot lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 143 rated Patriot players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

LAFSYR
Net rating-13.2 #315+16.4 #48
Offense94.5 #337117.7 #32
Defense107.7 #213101.3 #82
Tempo69.7 #22670.1 #200
Games this season53
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Patriot lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Lafayette Leopards2170same
Syracuse Orangenon-Patriot team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.