Florida A&M Rattlers
Away · model win chance 7%
62
Home · model win chance 93%
79
Preview · Mon 11/16, 1 PM ET · How to watch: MW+ · Tickets from $11 · Don Haskins Center, El Paso, TX · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

Florida A&M vs. UTEP prediction: model has UTEP by 18

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

Florida A&M visits UTEP (2-1) at Don Haskins Center in El Paso Monday at 1 PM ET on MW+.

Our model makes UTEP a 17.5-point favorite, projecting a 79-62 final, and gives UTEP a 93% chance to win. The betting market has UTEP favored by 20 with a total of 141.5. The model leans Florida A&M +20.0 and Under 141.5.

Players to watch: Youssouf Traore of UTEP, 12.5 points a game; Augusto Cassia of UTEP, 6.3 points a game; Jace Whiting of UTEP, 5.4 points a game.

UTEP's buildings follow the architecture of Bhutan, a style adopted in 1917 after photographs in the April 1914 National Geographic.

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ET
Florida A&M Rattlers 627% to win UTEP Miners 7993% to win
UTEP -17.5model spread
141.2model total
69possessions
UTEP -20market · 5 books
UnderdogFAMU +20.02.5

Model makes it UTEP -17.5; the market says UTEP -20. That is 2.5 points of daylight toward FAMU, a lean lean on the underdog.

Under 141.50.3

Model total 141.2 against a market 141.5: a slight lean to the under by 0.3.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 130 rated Mountain West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

FAMUUTEP
Net rating-29.2 #365-9.1 #274
Offense90.5 #36099.0 #295
Defense119.7 #361108.2 #221
Tempo71.4 #11267.7 #324
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

SpreadTotal
First seenUTEP -17144.0
Now (5 books)UTEP -20141.5
ModelUTEP -17.5141.2

Every book's price →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Florida A&M Rattlersnon-MAC team, not tracked
UTEP Miners30same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.