Sam Houston Bearkats
Away · model win chance 19%
72
Home · model win chance 81%
82
Preview · Tue 11/17, 8:30 PM ET · How to watch: MW+ · Tickets from $13 · Arena-Auditorium, Laramie, WY · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:31 AM ET
Sam Houston Bearkats 7219% to win Wyoming Cowboys 8281% to win
WYO -10.6model spread
153.7model total
70possessions

No line yet. Mountain West lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 130 rated Mountain West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

SHSUWYO
Net rating+3.3 #128+12.9 #71
Offense109.8 #109113.2 #65
Defense106.5 #183100.3 #71
Tempo73.2 #4167.7 #320
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Mountain West lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Sam Houston Bearkatsnon-MAC team, not tracked
Wyoming Cowboys2113same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.