New Mexico State Aggies
Home · model win chance 55%
70
Preview · Thu 11/19, 9 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Pan American Center, Las Cruces, NM
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:31 AM ETNMSU -1.6model spread
137.8model total
65possessions
No line yet. Mountain West lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Youssouf Traore UTEP · F
+2.3#38 overall in Mountain West
Offensive engine
Augusto Cassia UTEP · F
-1.2#94 offense in Mountain West
Defensive anchor
Jace Whiting UTEP · G
-0.7#86 defense in Mountain West
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 130 rated Mountain West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UTEP | NMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -9.1 #274 | -12.1 #300 |
| Offense | 99.0 #295 | 101.7 #255 |
| Defense | 108.2 #221 | 113.8 #324 |
| Tempo | 67.7 #324 | 68.0 #306 |
| Games this season | 3 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Mountain West lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP Miners | 2 | 42 | same |
| New Mexico State Aggies | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.