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Final · Sat, Nov 14, 2026 · Hornet Pavilion, Sacramento, CA · attendance 3,122 · ESPN gamecast · Share this box score

UC Davis rolled past Sacramento St 75-56

By Hardwood Bricks staff · Sat, Nov 14, 2026

Highlights from ESPN · Watch on ESPN

UC Davis rolled past Sacramento St 75-56 on the road in Sacramento.

San Ramon, California, native Connor Sevilla led UC Davis with 16 points. Marcus Wilson had 12 points for Sacramento St. Oakland, California, native Jalen Stokes led all players with 10 rebounds for UC Davis.

UC Davis had 42 points in the paint to Sacramento St's 14. UC Davis covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 29.6 points.

Scoring · UC Davis: Connor Sevilla 16, Ylan Esso-Essis 15, Jalen Stokes 11, Aleks Szymczyk 9, Isaiah Chappell 5, Brayden Fagbemi 4, Veniamin Abosi 4, Clarence Massamba 4, Omer Suljanovic 3, Chase Rawlins 3, Julian Dabrowski 1. Sacramento St: Marcus Wilson 12, Mikey Williams 9, Mason Hunt 6, Larry Hughes II 5, Sasa Ciani 5, Taj Glover 5, Giannis Asimakopoulos 4, Osiris Grady 3, Arman Madi 3, Ashton Pierce 2, Romari Robinson 2.

Off the court, UC Davis claims John S. Watson: John S. Watson earned a B.A. in agricultural economics from UC Davis in 1978 and was chairman and CEO of Chevron from January 1, 2010 to January 31, 2018.

Before the game

Our preview, as it ran before tip · 2026-11-13

UC Davis vs. Sacramento St prediction: model has Sacramento St by 11

UC Davis (2-1) visits Sacramento St at Hornet Pavilion in Sacramento Saturday at 8 PM ET on ESPN+.

Our model makes Sacramento St a 10.5-point favorite, projecting an 81-70 final, and gives Sacramento St a 81% chance to win. The betting market has Sacramento St favored by 3.5 with a total of 161. The model leans Sacramento St -3.5 and Under 161.

Players to watch: Veniamin Abosi of UC Davis, 13.3 points a game; Brayden Fagbemi of UC Davis, 13.1 points a game; Isaiah Chappell of UC Davis, 8.7 points a game.

What the model said

Projected that morning with only earlier games

UCD 70, SAC 81model score

-10.6model spread (home)

151.1model total

29.6points off the final margin

FavoriteSAC -3.57.1 Lost Under 161.510.4 Won

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.

Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.

Line and result

	Spread (home)	Total	ML home	ML away	Source
Open (first seen)	-3.5	154.0			our snapshots
Latest	+12.0	146.0	1562	-2625	our snapshots (9 books)
Close	-3.5	161.5	-170	142	DraftKings via ESPN

Margin -19 (home) ATS UCD covered Total 131 → under

Travel and rest coming in

Team	Rest days	Miles in	Road streak	Time zone
UCD	2	14	1	same
SAC	non-MAC team, not tracked

Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).

Team stats

Stat	UCD	SAC
FG	27-54	13-56
FG%	50	23
3PT	4-16	3-20
3P%	25	15
FT	17-24	27-48
FT%	71	56
Rebounds	48	36
Offensive rebounds	8	13
Defensive rebounds	40	23
Assists	15	7
Steals	6	15
Blocks	1	4
Turnovers	24	14
Points off turnovers	10	13
Fast break points	4	16
Points in paint	42	14
Fouls	28	27
Largest lead	25	5
Possessions (est.)	81.4	79.8
Points per 100 possessions	92.1	70.2

Possessions = FGA − OREB + TO + 0.475 × FTA.

UC Davis Aggies

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	OREB	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	PF
Brayden Fagbemi G	29	4	2-9	0-1	0-0	0	5	5	2	1	0	3
Jalen Stokes G	27	11	3-7	0-2	5-6	2	10	1	1	2	0	4
Connor Sevilla G	26	16	5-7	2-3	4-4	1	3	0	6	0	0	3
Isaiah Chappell F	13	5	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	3	0	1	1	0	3
Omer Suljanovic F	11	3	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	3	1	2	0	0	3
Ylan Esso-Essis	22	15	6-9	0-2	3-4	2	8	1	2	0	0	2
Veniamin Abosi	21	4	2-5	0-2	0-0	0	3	2	3	1	0	0
Aleks Szymczyk	19	9	4-6	0-2	1-3	2	6	3	0	1	1	2
Chase Rawlins	12	3	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	2	0	3	0	0	1
Clarence Massamba	12	4	1-2	0-0	2-3	0	1	2	2	0	0	2
Nnadalu Noble	2	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3
Koby Moir	2	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Caspian Jones	2	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1
Julian Dabrowski	1	1	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Julian Margrave	DNP

Sacramento State Hornets

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	OREB	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	PF
Mikey Williams G	35	9	2-9	1-2	4-10	1	4	1	2	3	1	2
Marcus Wilson G	27	12	2-8	0-3	8-13	0	3	2	5	4	1	4
Larry Hughes II G	24	5	2-6	0-2	1-2	0	1	2	1	1	0	4
Osiris Grady F	21	3	0-2	0-0	3-4	0	3	0	2	0	0	2
Sasa Ciani F	14	5	2-8	0-0	1-2	3	5	0	0	1	0	2
Arman Madi	17	3	1-3	0-1	1-2	2	4	0	0	1	0	3
Taj Glover	15	5	2-6	0-1	1-1	1	4	0	1	0	0	2
Mason Hunt	12	6	2-5	2-5	0-0	0	2	0	1	2	0	1
Ridvan Tutic	9	0	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	4	1	1	0	0	1
Giannis Asimakopoulos	8	4	0-2	0-2	4-6	0	3	0	0	1	2	2
Ashton Pierce	6	2	0-3	0-3	2-4	1	1	1	0	2	0	2
Romari Robinson	5	2	0-1	0-1	2-4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
Chidi Nwigwe	5	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Melvin Stubbs Jr.	2	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Joao Das Chagas	DNP
Zach Anderson	DNP