Fresno State Bulldogs
Away · model win chance 29%
79
Preview · Wed 11/18, 9 PM ET
· How to watch: MW+
· Tickets from $24
· Provident Credit Union Event Center, San Jose, CA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:31 AM ETSJSU -6.7model spread
165.6model total
71possessions
No line yet. Mountain West lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Robert Vaihola SJSU · F
+5.0#14 overall in Mountain West
Offensive engine
KJ Martin Jr. SJSU · F
+2.7#18 offense in Mountain West
Defensive anchor
Oliver Kullamae SJSU · G
-1.0#91 defense in Mountain West
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 130 rated Mountain West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| FRES | SJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -8.8 #271 | -4.8 #218 |
| Offense | 104.6 #200 | 110.7 #97 |
| Defense | 113.4 #316 | 115.5 #337 |
| Tempo | 71.0 #145 | 70.7 #164 |
| Games this season | 4 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Mountain West lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| San José State Spartans | 2 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.