Idaho Vandals
Away · model win chance 10%
66
Preview · Wed 11/18, 10 PM ET
· How to watch: MW+
· Tickets from $11
· Lawlor Events Center, Reno, NV
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:31 AM ETNEV -15.2model spread
146.7model total
70possessions
No line yet. Mountain West lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Elijah Price NEV · F
+5.5#11 overall in Mountain West
Offensive engine
Peyton White NEV · G
+4.0#3 offense in Mountain West
Defensive anchor
Vaughn Weems NEV · G
+0.9#54 defense in Mountain West
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 130 rated Mountain West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| IDHO | NEV | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -6.2 #231 | +10.1 #79 |
| Offense | 103.3 #218 | 109.5 #115 |
| Defense | 109.5 #255 | 99.3 #61 |
| Tempo | 69.9 #217 | 70.4 #187 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Mountain West lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Vandals | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 3 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.