Utah Valley edged Nevada 73-71 on the road in Reno.
Isaac Hawkins led Utah Valley with 26 points. Styles Phipps had 18 points and 6 assists for Nevada. Thousand Oaks, California, native Peyton White led all players with 10 rebounds for Nevada.
Utah Valley covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 17.1 points.
In the NBA, former Nevada player Caleb Martin had 15 points and 8 rebounds for the Mavericks on Saturday; former Nevada player Kobe Sanders had 5 points for the Clippers the night before.
Nevada joined the Mountain West on July 1, 2012, after stints in the Big Sky from 1979 to 1992, the Big West from 1992 to 2000 and the WAC from 2000 to 2012.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
Utah Valley vs. Nevada prediction: model has Nevada by 15
Utah Valley visits Nevada (2-1) at Lawlor Events Center in Reno Saturday at 10 PM ET on MW+.
Our model makes Nevada a 15-point favorite, projecting an 85-70 final, and gives Nevada a 90% chance to win. The betting market has Nevada favored by 9.5 with a total of 152. The model leans Nevada -9.5 and Over 152.
Players to watch: Styles Phipps of Nevada, 19.4 points a game; Elijah Price of Nevada, 12.1 points a game; Peyton White of Nevada, 5.7 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
UVU 70, NEV 86model score
-15.1model spread (home)
155.9model total
17.1points off the final margin
FavoriteNEV -9.55.6LostOver 151.54.4Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-10.0
150.0
our snapshots
Latest
+2.0
145.5
149
-176
our snapshots (4 books)
Close
-9.5
151.5
-550
410
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -2 (home)ATS UVU coveredTotal 144 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
UVU
non-MAC team, not tracked
NEV
2
353
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
