Air Force beat Loyola Chicago 107-93 at Clune Arena.
Katy, Texas, native Lucas Hobin led Air Force with 26 points and 6 3-pointers. Donald Hand Jr. had 25 points and 5 3-pointers for Loyola Chicago. Jason Schofield led all players with 8 rebounds for Loyola Chicago.
Air Force had 15 3-pointers to Loyola Chicago's 10. Air Force covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 24.7 points.
Air Force coach Joe Crispin played professionally from 2001 to 2012, with stops in Greece, Poland, Italy, Spain, Turkey and Ukraine, and was the ABA's MVP in 2004.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
Loyola Chicago at Air Force preview: model has Loyola Chicago by 12
Loyola Chicago visits Air Force (2-1) at Clune Arena in Colorado Springs Wednesday at 3 PM ET on MW+.
Our model makes Loyola Chicago a 11.9-point favorite, projecting a 78-66 final, and gives Loyola Chicago a 84% chance to win. The betting market has Loyola Chicago favored by 10.5 with a total of 160. The model leans Loyola Chicago -10.5 and Under 160.
Players to watch: Grant Best of Air Force, 19.7 points a game; Caleb Walker of Air Force, 10.5 points a game; A.J. Patterson of Air Force, 6.3 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
LUC 78, AF 67model score
+10.7model spread (home)
144.4model total
24.7points off the final margin
FavoriteLUC -10.50.2LostUnder 161.517.1Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
+8.5
154.0
our snapshots
Latest
-12.5
199.0
-55000.0
7155.5
our snapshots (9 books)
Close
+10.5
161.5
455
-625
Draft Kings via ESPN
Margin +14 (home)ATS AF coveredTotal 200 → over
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
LUC
non-MAC team, not tracked
AF
2
0
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
