Neutral · model win chance 6%
67
Kansas Jayhawks
Neutral · model win chance 94%
85
Preview · Tue 11/17, 9:30 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN · Tickets from $95 · Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:31 AM ET
UNLV Rebels 676% to win Kansas Jayhawks 8594% to win
KU -18.2model spread
152.7model total
75possessions

No line yet. Mountain West lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 130 rated Mountain West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

UNLVKU
Net rating+5.1 #112+29.5 #7
Offense110.9 #93114.5 #54
Defense105.8 #17085.0 #2
Tempo72.3 #7172.8 #52
Games this season33
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Mountain West lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
UNLV Rebels30same
Kansas Jayhawksnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.