Virginia Lynchburg vs. NC Central prediction: model has NC Central by 32
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Virginia Lynchburg visits NC Central (0-4) at McDougald-McLendon Arena in Durham Monday at 7 PM ET.
Our model makes NC Central a 32-point favorite, projecting an 89-57 final. Virginia Lynchburg is not a Division I team, so books don't post a line and the model's number is rough.
Players to watch: Tyler Mason of NC Central, 11 points a game; Darius Kane of NC Central, 9.4 points a game; Trey Brown of NC Central, 8.5 points a game.
NCCU is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 104 rated MEAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
VUL
NCCU
Net rating
non-D-I
-12.2 #304
Offense
non-D-I
96.2 #321
Defense
non-D-I
108.4 #228
Tempo
non-D-I
67.7 #323
Games this season
216
4
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
