Away · model win chance 33%
70
The Citadel Bulldogs
Home · model win chance 67%
76
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · McAlister Field House, Charleston, SC · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:39 PM ET
South Carolina State Bulldogs 7033% to win The Citadel Bulldogs 7667% to win
CIT -5.3model spread
145.8model total
71possessions

No line yet. MEAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 104 rated MEAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

SCSTCIT
Net rating-12.1 #303-10.1 #285
Offense95.0 #330102.9 #224
Defense107.1 #201113.0 #308
Tempo73.1 #4367.9 #309
Games this season54
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When MEAC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
South Carolina State Bulldogs4146same
The Citadel Bulldogsnon-MEAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.