Neutral · model win chance 65%
71
Duquesne Dukes
Neutral · model win chance 35%
67
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $32 · Ocean Center, Daytona Beach, FL · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:39 PM ET
Howard Bison 7165% to win Duquesne Dukes 6735% to win
HOW -4.6model spread
137.9model total
68possessions

No line yet. MEAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 104 rated MEAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

HOWDUQ
Net rating+0.4 #152-6.3 #240
Offense102.9 #225101.1 #269
Defense102.5 #107107.5 #210
Tempo70.5 #17768.1 #303
Games this season54
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When MEAC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Howard Bison3435same
Duquesne Dukesnon-MEAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.