North Carolina A&T Aggies
Home · model win chance 73%
77
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: FloSports
· Ellis Corbett Sports Center, Greensboro, NC
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:39 PM ETNCAT -7.3model spread
147.3model total
74possessions
No line yet. MEAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Ibrahima Traore MORG · F
+3.0#3 overall in MEAC
Offensive engine
Alfred Worrell Jr. MORG · G
-1.5#41 offense in MEAC
Defensive anchor
Trent Edwards MORG · F
+2.8#6 defense in MEAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 104 rated MEAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| MORG | NCAT | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -12.5 #310 | -8.1 #264 |
| Offense | 93.1 #346 | 101.9 #254 |
| Defense | 105.6 #167 | 110.0 #260 |
| Tempo | 73.1 #42 | 71.3 #116 |
| Games this season | 5 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When MEAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan State Bears | 3 | 290 | same |
| North Carolina A&T Aggies | non-MEAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.