George Mason Patriots
Home · model win chance 90%
72
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $9
· EagleBank Arena, Fairfax, VA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:39 PM ETGMU -15.3model spread
129.0model total
65possessions
No line yet. MEAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Tyler Mason NCCU · F
-0.2#17 overall in MEAC
Offensive engine
Darius Kane NCCU · G
-0.6#24 offense in MEAC
Defensive anchor
Trey Brown NCCU · G
+1.9#13 defense in MEAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 104 rated MEAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| NCCU | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -12.2 #304 | +6.0 #103 |
| Offense | 96.2 #321 | 106.4 #164 |
| Defense | 108.4 #228 | 100.4 #74 |
| Tempo | 67.7 #323 | 67.3 #335 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When MEAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Central Eagles | 1 short | 216 | same |
| George Mason Patriots | non-MEAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.