Belmont Bruins
Neutral · model win chance 64%
75
Preview · Mon 11/23, 4 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPNU
· State Farm Field House, Kissimmee, FL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:32 PM ETBEL -4.2model spread
146.2model total
67possessions
No line yet. Ivy lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Daniel Ogunyemi YALE · F
+4.2#5 overall in Ivy
Offensive engine
Trevor Mullin YALE · G
+1.7#13 offense in Ivy
Defensive anchor
Jack Sullivan YALE · F
-0.2#62 defense in Ivy
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 131 rated Ivy players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| YALE | BEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -1.7 #170 | +4.7 #117 |
| Offense | 110.7 #97 | 106.3 #168 |
| Defense | 112.3 #298 | 101.6 #92 |
| Tempo | 66.7 #346 | 70.4 #185 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Ivy lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yale Bulldogs | 4 | 1,018 | same |
| Belmont Bruins | non-Ivy team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.